In the upcoming Serie A clash between Juventude and Grêmio on July 7, 2024, both teams aim to secure crucial points. Juventude recently lost 2-0 to Bahia, while Grêmio drew 2-2 with Palmeiras.
Historically, Grêmio has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning four of the last six matches, including a 3-2 victory in their most recent meeting. Juventude has managed one win and one draw in this period.
Team Form and Statistics
Juventude's Recent Form
Juventude has shown mixed form in their last 10 league games, with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws.
They average 1.1 goals per match from 4.7 shots on goal, maintaining 51.1% possession.
Defensively, they concede 1.3 goals per game. Lucas Barbosa leads their scoring with 3 goals, while Mandaca and Erick Farias have each scored 2.
Grêmio's Recent Form
Grêmio has struggled recently, securing only 2 wins, 6 losses, and 2 draws in their last 10 matches.
They average just 0.7 goals per game from 4.0 shots on goal and hold 49.0% possession.
Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals per match. Franco Cristaldo and Gustavo Gomes are their top scorers with 2 goals each.
Key Stats and Odds
Juventude has been strong at home, unbeaten in their last 10 matches and scoring 2 or more goals in 6 of these games.
Conversely, Grêmio has failed to win any of their last 5 away matches and has conceded 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 10 away games.
The aggregated odds favour Juventude at +140 to win, reflecting their recent strong home performances.
Grêmio comes in at around +200, and the draw is at +230. The odds for Under 2.5 Goals stand at -154, indicating a likelihood of a low-scoring game.
Injury News
Juventude
Juventude is dealing with several injuries. Marcelinho, Kleiton, and Edson Carioca are out with thigh injuries, expected to return mid-July.
Grêmio
Grêmio faces multiple absences, including Yeferson Soteldo (international duty), Dodi (disciplinary suspension), and Mathías Villasanti (coach's decision).
Additional injuries include Pedro Geromel, Gustavo Martins, Fabio da Silva, Diego Costa, André Henrique, Lucas Mila, and Jhonata Robert.
Prediction
Given Juventude's solid home form and Grêmio's struggles on the road, our prediction leans towards a Juventude victory.
Their home advantage and better recent performances make them a strong contender to secure three points in this match.
Our Prediction: Juventude 1 - 0 Gremio